WASHINGTON, DC -- (Marketwire) -- July 26, 2011
-- As the nation grapples with a record year for storms, drought
and weather-related devastation, a new report released by the
Natural Resources Defense Council reveals climate change is leaving
American cities open to a range of water-related vulnerabilities --
from drought to sea level rise and increased rainfall -- regardless
of region or size.
The report looks at how communities facing these new extremes
are trying to protect their water supplies and waterways.
'This report makes clear that some of the first, most profound
and far-reaching impacts of climate change are water-related,
affecting the water we drink, fish, and swim in,' said Michelle
Mehta, an attorney for NRDC's Water Program and a principal author
of the report.
'In the future, we can expect increased
violent storms, drought and rising seas, so communities nationwide,
regardless of size, should get plans up and running to reduce their
unique vulnerabilities and prepare for impacts.'
The report, 'Thirsty for Answers: Preparing for the
Water-related Impacts of Climate Change in American Cities,' found
that climate change will impact water supplies and waterways in
communities across the country, with geography often determining
the specific effects. For the first time, this peer-reviewed report
has compiled the results of more than 75 scientific studies, data
generated by government agencies, and information gathered by other
nonprofit organizations to analyze how the impacts of climate
change on water supplies and waterways could affect 12 target
cities:
- Boston, Massachusetts
- Chicago, Illinois
- Homer, Alaska
- Los Angeles, California
- Miami, Florida, and the Florida Keys
- New Orleans, Louisiana
- New York, New York
- Norfolk, Virginia
- Phoenix, Arizona
- San Francisco, California
- Seattle, Washington
- St. Louis, Missouri
The report provides a snapshot of projected climate change
impacts in regions across the country: Rising sea levels threaten
vital infrastructure and saltwater intrusion to freshwater supplies
in cities on the East, West and Gulf Coasts. Severe storms in the
Midwest and East Coast are likely to become more intense and more
frequent, causing floods and erosion, and threatening drinking
water quality.

Click for Slideshow
In the West, a combination of increased temperatures, decreased
precipitation and less snowpack contributes to a future shortage of
water supply for people and aquatic life. More specifically
scientific studies reveal a range of possible impacts under various
carbon emission scenarios:
- Rising Seas: Coastal cities examined in the report,
such as Miami, Norfolk, New Orleans, Los Angeles, San Francisco and
Seattle are threatened by flooding and storm surges due to rising
sea levels. For example, data show the very existence of the
Florida Keys is at stake, with 38 percent at risk of inundation in
the most optimistic scenario. Conservative projections also
suggests the California coast could see a 12- to 18-inch rise in
sea levels and the coastline of Seattle a 3- to 22-inch rise
relative to levels recorded in 2000.
Saltwater intrusion also could become more common in coastal
communities as a result of this sea level rise, threatening
freshwater supplies, according to data compiled. In New York City,
for example, saltwater is expected to journey farther up the Hudson
and Delaware Rivers during high tides, two of the region's major
sources for freshwater supply. Also, the salinity problem already
facing California's Sacramento-San Joaquin River Delta is likely to
increase, threatening the quality and reliability of the freshwater
supply used by millions of Californians for drinking water as well
as the region's heavy agriculture industry.
- Increased Storms and Flooding: Research finds the
Midwest is expected to experience more frequent and intense storms,
contributing to the type of recent heavy flooding along the
Mississippi River. The frequency of very heavy rainfall in Chicago,
for example, is expected to increase by 50 percent in the next 30
years, which without infrastructural improvements is likely to
increase the number of combined sewer overflows (CSO) that send
untreated sewage and storm water into the Chicago River and Lake
Michigan.
Increased rainfall along the Atlantic is predicted to cause
significant flooding as a result of tropical storms and
nor'easters. In New York City, 100-year floods could occur every 30
to 55 years by 2050. Such flooding increases the risk of damage to
vital low-lying infrastructure in New York, as well as critical
naval and civilian ports in Norfolk. Heavier rainfall in the
Midwest is likely to cause increased stream flows due in part to
saturated soils, threatening levees in cities like St. Louis.
- A Drier West: The report describes rising
temperatures, less rainfall and decreased snowpack in the U.S.
West. As a result, without proper management, water supplies could
be seriously threatened in regions such as Los Angeles, Seattle and
Phoenix. Slight temperature changes could cause irregular stream
flow patterns and lead to unseasonal snowpack melt outside of the
dry season when the runoff is most needed, the data revealed. For
example, the loss of spring snowpack in California's Sierra Nevada
mountain range is highly likely, and a worst case scenario
estimates stream flows in Southern California decreasing by as much
as 41 percent.
Warmer air also could cause precipitation to fall as rain in areas
where it traditionally has fallen as snow, such as in watersheds
that supply the populations of Seattle and Phoenix, causing
decreases and even disappearance of snowpack. Such a scenario would
pose serious challenges for local water supply managers,
particularly during the summer months, as they attempt to balance
human demand for water with needs for water supplies for
hydroelectricity and wildlife habitats.
- Decreased Water Quality: Data cited in the report
point to the many negative effects rising carbon dioxide
concentrations are having on water quality. For example, higher
dissolved carbon dioxide concentrations, warmer water, and
increased runoff could cause increased occurrences of harmful algal
blooms in the Chesapeake Bay and around Seattle. The blooms can
result in fish kills and cause shellfish to become contaminated
with potent natural toxins, causing illness in humans who consume
them.
Rising atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations and warmer waters
are detrimental to the health of the coral reefs off the coast of
Miami and the Florida Keys, and acidification of the waters in
Puget Sound near Seattle threatens shellfish, a vital contributor
to the local economy.
The compiled local data are cause for concern, and the report
describes various steps these cities are taking to become more
resilient to the effects of climate change, providing examples of
steps that communities across the country should consider. These
include:
- Chicago has developed a climate action plan to reduce
greenhouse gas emissions by 25 percent below 1990 levels by 2020,
and 80 percent below 1990 levels by 2050. The plan includes steps
to minimize greenhouse gas emissions and adapt to already-occurring
changes in climate, while calling for improved policies on the
local, state and federal levels.
- New York City has launched the Climate Change Adaption Task
Force and the New York Panel on Climate Change to develop
strategies to secure the city's infrastructure in the event of
floods or sea level rise.
- San Francisco, Seattle and Phoenix have taken steps to prepare
for water shortages. Seattle Public Utilities has identified a
series of system modifications and supply options based on research
conducted by the University of Washington. It also plans to save 15
million gallons of water a day by 2030.
- Miami is working with surrounding communities to develop a
strategy to prepare for rising sea levels. Four counties are
working together as the Southeast Florida Regional Climate Change
Compact to coordinate policy positions, scientific research and
adaption efforts that ultimately will lead to a regional action
plan.
- Norfolk has hired an outside consultant to conduct a flood
vulnerability assessment. The firm has developed a flood forecast
model that estimates flood depths based on tide elevation data. The
model will allow the city to assess costs related to flood
mitigation strategies, and apply the assessment to a long-term
flood plan that prioritizes funding and the implementation of flood
improvement projects.
'It is encouraging that many communities are taking measures to
reduce damage to their local water supplies and waterways from the
impacts of climate change,' said Steve Fleischli, a senior attorney
with NRDC.
'The good news is that many actions
that will make cities more resilient in an era of climate change,
ranging from using water wisely to greening city streets, have a
whole range of additional benefits, making them no regrets
approaches.'
The report's focus cities were chosen for their population
concentrations and geographic diversity. Additionally, the
scientific community has studied local and regional impacts of
climate change in many of these communities, which provided more
data from which to draw conclusions.
The complete report is available online from
NRDC
Cities: Green Buildings,
Infrastructure & Sustainable Design will be a key theme at
GLOBE 2012
Leaders of some of the world's greatest cities will discuss how
they are making their cities more economically, socially, and
environmentally vibrant places to live and do business in a more
sustainable fashion. As well, leading experts who are designing and
building today's urban centres will be on hand to discuss the
latest in green building technologies, energy management systems,
infrastructure, and design.