GLOBE-Net, March 14, 2011 - Ten years ago,
Clean Edge released Clean Tech: Profits and Potential, the firm's
first publication. This year's edition looks at the past 10 years
of clean-energy activity in the U.S. and abroad. The report
includes growth projections for the major clean-energy sectors
(solar PV, wind, and biofuels), as well as global clean-tech
investment data and emerging trends.
The report's key findings include:
- In 2010, combined global revenue for solar photovoltaics (PV),
wind power, and biofuels surged 35.2 percent over the prior year,
growing from $139.1 billion to $188.1 billion. Over the past decade
solar PV and wind have experienced annual average growth rates of
40 percent and 30 percent respectively.
- Biofuels reached $56.4 billion in 2010 and are projected to
grow to $112.8 billion by 2020. In 2010, the biofuels market
consisted of more than 27.2 billion gallons of ethanol and
biodiesel production worldwide.
- Wind power is projected to expand from $60.5 billion in 2010 to
$122.9 billion in 2020. For the first time since Clean Edge began
tracking the wind power sector, the global wind market witnessed a
slight year-over-year decline in market size.
- Solar photovoltaics are projected to grow from a $71.2 billion
industry in 2010 to $113.6 billion by 2020. New installations
reached more than 15.6 GW worldwide in 2010, a more than doubling
from 7.1 GW in 2009.
U.S.-based venture capital investments in clean tech increased
46 percent from $3.5 billion in 2009 to $5.1 billion in 2010,
according to data provided by the Cleantech Group. Clean-tech's
percentage of total U.S. venture capital investments continued to
rise, accounting for a record 23.2 percent of total U.S. venture
activity in 2010.
In addition to highlighting the past 10 years in clean tech,
including opportunities and challenges, the report outlines five
key trends that will impact the markets in the coming years:
- Incandescent Phase-Out Lights the Way for Low-Cost LEDs
- Natural Gas Advances as a Powerful Partner for Wind and Solar
Energy
- Cleaner Aviation Fuels are Poised for Takeoff
- Low-Cost Green Building Brings Relief - and Sustainability -
Around the World
- Innovation Provides Alternatives to Rare Earths
This year's report represents a full decade of Clean Edge data
and trends analysis. The following is an excerpt from Clean
Energy Trends 2011.
As witnessed over the past decade,
clean tech has proven to be a significant business opportunity, and
its growth rates now rival that of earlier technology revolutions
like telephony, computers, and the Internet.
According to Clean Edge research,
the global market for solar photovoltaics (PV) has expanded from
just $2.5 billion in 2000 to $71.2 billion in 2010, for example,
representing a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 39.8
percent.
The global market for wind power,
which like solar PV we have tracked every year for the past decade,
has similarly expanded from a global market worth $4.5 billion in
2000 to more than $60.5 billion today, for a CAGR of 29.7 percent.
And these growth rates are not limited to solar and wind. Other
clean-tech sectors, such as hybrid electric vehicles, green
buildings, and smart grid, have seen similarly spectacular growth
rates.
This overall trend for clean-tech markets continued to be one of
growth and expansion in 2010. Combined global revenue for solar PV,
wind power, and biofuels surged by 35.2 percent over the prior
year, growing from $139.1 billion to $188.1 billion. The bulk of
this expansion came from a more than doubling in global solar PV
installations. For the first time since we began tracking the wind
sector, however, we witnessed a slight year-over-year decline in
market size.
According to our research:
Biofuels (global production and
wholesale pricing of ethanol and biodiesel) reached $56.4 billion
in 2010 and are projected to grow to $112.8 billion by 2020. In
2010, the biofuels market consisted of more than 27.2 billion
gallons of ethanol and biodiesel production worldwide, up from 23.6
billion gallons the prior year.
Wind power (new installation capital
costs) is projected to expand from $60.5 billion in 2010 to $122.9
billion in 2020. Last year's global wind power installations
declined slightly to 35.2 GW, down from a record 37.5 GW the prior
year. China, the global leader in new installations for the third
year in a row, continued to see an increase with total
installations of more than 16 GW.
The U.S. continued to see
significant declines in the face of a tight project finance market,
uncertainty around project grants until late in 2010, and the lack
of a federal RPS, among other challenges, adding only half as much
capacity as the prior year with just 5 GW installed in 2010.
Against this backdrop, China surpassed the U.S. for the title of
global leader in total cumulative installs for wind power, with a
capacity of more than 42 GW.
Solar photovoltaics (including
modules, system components, and installation) are projected to grow
from a $71.2 billion industry in 2010 to $113.6 billion by 2020.
New installations reached more than 15.6 GW worldwide in 2010, a
more than doubling from 7.1 GW in 2009. The level of growth and
expansion in solar PV was a direct result of PV prices dropping by
more than 30 percent in 2009 followed by an additional 10 percent
drop in 2010.
Together, we project these three
benchmark technologies, which totaled $139.1 billion in 2009 and
grew 35.2 percent to $188.1 billion in 2010, to grow to $349.2
billion in the next decade.
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