On World Population Day, Worldwatch explores nine polices to
help stabilize population growth
Washington, D.C., July 11,
2012 -- Although most
analysts assume that the world's population will rise from today's
7 billion to 9 billion by 2050, it is quite possible that humanity
will never reach this population size, Worldwatch Institute
President Robert Engelman argues in the book State of the
World 2012: Moving Toward Sustainable Prosperity.
In the chapter "Nine Population Strategies to Stop Short of 9
Billion," Engelman outlines a series of steps and initiatives that
would all but guarantee declines in birthrates-based purely on the
intention of women around the world to have small families or no
children at all-that would end population growth before mid-century
at fewer than 9 billion people.
"Unsustainable population growth can only be effectively and
ethically addressed by empowering women to become pregnant only
when they themselves choose to do so," Engelman
writes.
Examples from around the world demonstrate effective policies
that not only reduce birth rates, but also respect the reproductive
aspirations of parents and support an educated and economically
active society that promotes the health of women and girls. Most of
these reproduction policies are relatively inexpensive to
implement, yet in many places they are opposed on the basis of
cultural resistance and political infeasibility.
Eschewing the language and approaches of "population control" or
the idea that anyone should pressure women and their partner on
reproduction, Engelman outlines nine strategies that could put
human population on an environmentally sustainable path:
- Provide universal access to safe and effective
contraceptive options for both sexes. With nearly two in five
pregnancies reported as mistimed or never wanted, lack of access to
good family planning services is among the biggest gaps in assuring
that each baby will be wanted and welcomed in advance by its
parents.
- Guarantee education through secondary school
for all, especially girls. In every culture surveyed to date, women
who have completed at least some secondary school have fewer
children on average, and have children later in life, than do women
who have less education.
- Eradicate gender bias from law, economic
opportunity, health, and culture. Women who can own, inherit, and
manage property; divorce; obtain credit; and participate in civic
and political affairs on equal terms with men are more likely to
postpone childbearing and to have fewer children compared to women
who are deprived of these rights.
- Offer age-appropriate sexuality education for
all students. Data from the United States indicate that exposure to
comprehensive programs that detail puberty, intercourse, options of
abstinence and birth control, and respecting the sexual rights and
decisions of individuals, can help prevent unwanted pregnancies and
hence reduce birth rates.
- End all policies that reward parents
financially based on the number of children they have. Governments
can preserve and even increase tax and other financial benefits
aimed at helping parents by linking these not to the number of
children they have, but to parenthood status itself.
- Integrate lessons on population, environment,
and development into school curricula at multiple levels.
Refraining from advocacy or propaganda, schools should educate
students to make well-informed choices about the impacts of their
behavior, including childbearing, on the environment.
- Put prices on environmental costs and impacts.
In quantifying the cost of an additional family member by
calculating taxes and increased food costs, couples may decide that
the cost of having an additional child is too high, compared to the
benefits of a smaller family that might receive government rebates
and have a lower cost of living. Such decisions, freely made by
women and couples, can decrease birth rates without any involvement
by non-parents in reproduction.
- Adjust to an aging population instead of
boosting childbearing through government incentives and programs.
Population aging must be met with the needed societal adjustments,
such as increased labor participation, rather than by offering
incentives to women to have more children.
- Convince leaders to commit to stabilizing
population growth through the exercise of human rights and human
development. By educating themselves on rights-based population
policies, policymakers can ethically and effectively address
population-related challenges by empowering women to make their
reproductive choices.
If most or all of these strategies were put into effect,
Engelman argues, global population likely would peak and
subsequently begin a gradual decline before 2050, thereby ensuring
sustainable development of natural resources and global stability
into the future. By implementing policies that defend human rights,
promote education, and reflect the true economic and environmental
costs of childbearing, the world can halt population short of the 9
billion that so many analysts expect.
Worldwatch's State of the World 2012, released in
April 2012,focuses on the themes of inclusive sustainable
development discussed at Rio+20, the 20-year follow-up to the
historic 1992 Earth Summit, which was also held in Rio de Janeiro.
The report presents a selection of innovations and constructive
ideas for achieving environmental sustainability globally while
meeting human needs and providing jobs and dignity for
all.