CALGARY, AB, July 17, 2012 - Expanding Canadian
pipeline capacity to allow oil exports to Asia will pour billions
of dollars into government coffers, create thousands of jobs, and
bring substantial benefits to First Nations and pensioners,
concludes a new study from the Fraser Institute.
"The Alberta oilsands present Canadians with a unique
nation-building opportunity. As both a country and as individuals,
we already have a substantial investment in the oilsands and we can
take greater advantage of this resource if we can reduce our
reliance on the United States and open new markets for Canadian oil
in the Asia-Pacific," said Gerry Angevine, Fraser Institute senior
economist and co-author of Ensuring Canadian Access to Oil Markets in the
Asia-Pacific Region.
Angevine calculates that Canada would add at least $10.5 billion
to its GDP and gain up to 104,400 person years of employment with
the construction of the Northern Gateway project, which would
transport oil from the Alberta oilsands as well as conventional
crude oil from Bruderheim near Edmonton to a marine terminal at
Kitimat, B.C., and subsequent expansions of that facility and
TransMountain Pipeline.
The report examines the economic attractiveness and
feasibility of exporting Canadian oil to the Asia-Pacific region
rather than relying only on the U.S. market, and how such a move
would affect Canada.
The study also catalogues the regulatory and other barriers
standing in the way of building oil pipelines, storage and shipping
infrastructure to enable Canadian oil to be transported to
countries such as China, India, Japan and South Korea.
The question of 'who benefits' from building and operating new
transportation infrastructure that would allow Canadian oil to be
shipped to Asia is one of the central issues of the debate around
Enbridge's proposed Northern Gateway project.
The bulk of the construction-related jobs would occur in Alberta
and British Columbia, with many of those occurring in rural areas,
thereby providing employment opportunities for First Nations
communities. Benefits from supplying steel, equipment and other
supplies would flow primarily to Ontario and Quebec's manufacturing
sector.
Angevine also notes that Canadian pension plans, which are
heavily invested in the oilsands, would see greater returns if
oilsands producers could sell Canadian oil for higher prices to
Asia-Pacific countries. As an example, the report highlights the
$1.8 billion investment the Canada Pension Plan has in the
oilsands, along with the $1 billion oilsands investment made by the
Ontario Teachers' Pension Plan.
"Shipping Canadian oil to Asia-Pacific nations will boost the
returns for the Canada Pension Plan and could improve investment
income for virtually every Canadian collecting a pension," Angevine
said.
But the opportunity to use Alberta's oilsands to increase
Canadian prosperity and generate new economic opportunities is at
risk of regulatory paralysis, stymied by a raft of unnecessary and
inefficient rules and processes that could leave new pipeline
projects in limbo, he added.
The study concludes that Canada is saddled with many outdated
regulatory processes and procedures that result in long, drawn-out
hearings and reviews that serve only to delay and add to the costs
of new energy infrastructure projects. Opposition to projects by
First Nations and environmental concerns are also areas that need
to be dealt with in a more proactive manner.
"Canadians need to ask if we want to keep a system that sees
major projects studied to death. The National Energy Board took
more than six years to reach a decision on the MacKenzie Valley Gas
Project, which now stands as a stark example of a missed
opportunity," Angevine said.
"The regulations and review processes need to be updated to meet
the needs of people living in the 21st century."
Angevine and his co-author, Vanadis Oveido, suggest a number of
changes governments could make if they want to improve and update
the regulatory and review process for energy infrastructure
projects. Additionally, they suggest new measures for consultation
with First Nations to address their concerns. Among the
suggestions:
- Restrict the scope of the National Energy Board to matters
necessary to protect the public interest such as construction and
operational standards and environmental impacts;
- Place limits on the time the National Energy Board or a Joint
Review Panel may take to arrive at a decision;
- Require the National Energy Board to convene generic hearings
if two or more similar project applications are likely to be
brought forward during the next 10 to 20 years;
- Establish joint federal-provincial environmental review
processes for projects that require approvals from both levels of
government;
- Bring federal and provincial government officials together with
First Nations and industry representatives to identify
transportation corridors;
- Encourage discussions between project proponents and First
Nations well before applications are filed with the regulatory
authority;
- Require First Nations' environmental concerns to be addressed
under and in accordance with the Canadian Environmental Assessment
Act; and
- Consider legislation and regulations to provide for mandatory
settlement mechanisms to resolve compensation disputes with First
Nations groups.
"The oilsands are a resource that should be developed as market
conditions allow with an eye on legitimate environmental concerns
and global investment opportunities," Angevine said
"In turn, this will enable Canadians across the land to prosper
as much as possible from continued, responsible development of
those resources."
The full study is available for download
here