by Dallas Kachan
May 16, 2012 - Another year, another wringing
of the hands over tax credits and incentives for clean
technology.
Lobbyists and vendors in the U.S. are once again singing the blues, calling for continued and
expanding government investments in clean technology. At the same
time, political challengers continue their Solyndra hootenanny, raking the current
administration for how it spent hundreds of millions of taxpayer
dollars.
One can't help but wonder whether it's time for a different tune
when it comes to government involvement in cleantech.
Perhaps conversations about policy support should be less about
giving more taxpayer money to prop up the space, and more about
elected officials setting long term market stability and enabling
the private sector to deploy capital to assume risk in
cleantech.
Why? First, some background…
Down with incentives
Every time U.S. tax credits for renewable energy
development come up for renewal, the cleantech sector cringes at
having to once again "play chicken" with whichever administration
is incumbent at the time.
The U.S. Production Tax Credit (PTC), which provides a 2.2-cent
per kilowatt-hour benefit for the first ten years of a renewable
energy facility's operation, was born in 1992. But it's had a
hardscrabble life, clinging to life support after seven one and
two-year extensions bestowed alternately by Republican and
Democratic Congresses. Neither major American party has been
willing to show long term incentive support for renewable
energy.
The PTC for incremental hydro, wave and tidal energy,
geothermal, MSW, and bioenergy was extended until the end of 2013.
But the production tax credit for wind expires at the end of 2012.
And that's got wind lobby groups girding up.
In a recent statement, American Wind Energy Association (AWEA)
CEO Denise Bode cited a study suggesting Congressional inaction on
the PTC "will kill 37,000 American jobs, shutter plants and
cancel billions of dollars in private investment." The same
study suggested extending the wind PTC could allow the industry to grow to 100,000 jobs in just
four years. Expect this battle to simmer all summer.
The unpredictability around cleantech incentives is taking its
toll. "The U.S. is hitting a brick wall with the cessation of
benefits," remarked John Carson, CEO of Alterra Power, on the
subject at a recent cleantech investment conference I
co-chaired in Toronto. He wasn't happy, and do you blame him?
Nobody likes living hand to mouth. But that's what happens when you
rely on credits and incentives like the PTC or its loved and
loathed counterpart in the U.S., the Investment Tax Credit
(ITC).
And then there are the cleantech subsidies provided by the
American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 (ARRA), which are
now winding down.
If it feels that clean technology vendors and lobbyists are
spending an undue amount of energy and resources chasing such
subsidies worldwide, they likely are.
Up with mandates and standards
Rather than funding and administering subsidies to help
the clean and green tech sectors find their footing, a case could
be made that governments should focus on passing aggressive policy
mandates, standards and codes.
Instead of using taxpayer money to make technology bets,
regional and national governments could focus on passing laws,
including broad brush stroke ones like the renewable portfolio
standards in the U.S. that mandate a certain percentage of power
from renewable sources by certain dates, and then step back and let
the private sector figure out how to deliver.
Or mandate change more granularly-for example, that coal power
plants need to meet certain efficiency or emissions standards by
certain dates, and, again, let the private sector figure out
how.
(Ironically, if there were more public support to actually clean
up coal power instead of simply disingenuously parroting, beginning in 2008, that "there's no such thing as
clean coal," throwing up our hands because environmental ads
told us that "clean coal doesn't exist today"-and that
translated into political will and a mandate-cleaner coal power
could exist today. Yes, there'd be a penalty on the
nameplate capacity of plants' output, but there'd also be billions
saved in health care costs. But we digress.)
Taxpayers should take their politicians to task for trying to
play venture capitalist, i.e. by investing their money in trying to
pick winners (a la Solyndra) in complicated markets. Professional
venture capitalists themselves, who focus on their game full-time,
barely pick one winner in 10 investments.
Drawbacks of incentives
How could government grants, loans, tax credits and other
subsidies possibly be bad in cleantech? Free money is good, right?
Here's a list of drawbacks to these incentives, some of them not as
obvious as others:
- They can go away and cause market disruption - to wit, the
points earlier in this article.
- The existence of loans and grants silences critics - Few speak
out against pots of free money, because they might want or need to
dip into them in the future.
- Incentives favor only those willing to apply for them - and
therefore are often missed by companies working on disruptive,
fast-moving tech, or who are focused on taking care of customers'
needs.
- Criteria are often too narrowly defined - Criteria for
incentives often favor certain technology (solar photovoltaic over
other solar, or ethanol over other biofuels), and as a result, lock
out other legitimate but different approaches.
- Picking winners means designating losers - Recipients of
government grants or loan guarantees get capital and an associated
halo of being an anointed company. Those that don't are
comparatively disadvantaged.
- Not the best track record - Incentives go to companies best
staffed to apply for and lobby for them. And those aren't
necessarily the companies that could use the capital the most
effectively, e.g. to compete in world markets, or create the most
jobs.
What governments could and should be doing
In the cleantech research and consulting we do worldwide at Kachan
& Co., we've come to believe that governments are best
focused on activities to create large and sustained markets for
clean technology products and services.
Doing so gives assurance to private investors that there will be
continued demand for their investments-one of the most important
prerequisites to get venture capital, limited partners and other
institutional investors to write large checks.
Given that objective, governments should, in our opinion,
pursue:
- Setting mandates and standards - e.g. the amount of power
generated from renewable sources, new targets for fuel efficiency,
green building or other dimensions.
- Improving codes and other regulations - making building codes
more stringent could drive energy efficiency, green building and
smart grid investment.
- Building the talent pool
- Stabilizing the economy
- Fostering political stability
- Commitment to infrastructure projects - including water,
transportation and grid.
- Building showcase projects - regions wanting to foster local
cleantech can do as Abu Dhabi has done with its Masdar initiative, as Saudi Arabia is now doing with solar, or as
China has done with hundreds of green development zones; in doing
so, all three of these countries have sent strong signals to large
corporations and investors that they view clean technology as
strategic.
- Rolling back so-called perverse government subsidy support
today of the fossil fuel industry, including direct and indirect
subsidies.
Cities as test beds of policy innovation
Interestingly, cities are emerging as petri dishes of progressive
cleantech policy, and are increasingly where such innovation is
taking place.
For instance, Barcelona has established that large companies
need to create as much as 30% of their power from solar thermal
technologies. The city of Berkeley, California pioneered what is
now known as Property Assessed Clean Energy (PACE) financing,
wherein property owners are able to pay for energy efficiency and
renewable energy improvements on their property taxes.
This month, Phoenix, Arizona introduced what it calls the
largest city-sponsored residential solar financing program in the
U.S. And New York City is taking the lead in residential demand
response by trialing a program to curtail the consumption of 10,000
room air conditioners at times of high demand.
Given the world's current financial malaise, and especially in
light the Occupy momentum globally, I'm surprised more folks aren't
questioning how their governments spend their money in cleantech.
Because, as described above, there are other arguably more
effective ways elected officials can help usher in a cleaner,
greener future than throwing around billions in incentives.
After all, how much fun would a pristine planet be if we're all
destitute because governments have crumbled under crushing
debt?
A former managing director of the Cleantech Group,
Dallas Kachan is now managing partner of Kachan &
Co., a cleantech research and
advisory firm that does business worldwide from San
Francisco, Toronto and Vancouver. The company publishes research on
clean technology companies and future trends, offers consulting
services to large corporations, governments and cleantech vendors,
and connects cleantech companies with investors through its Hello
Cleantech™ programs. Kachan staff have been
covering, publishing about and helping propel clean technology
since 2006. Details at www.kachan.com.
Dallas is also executive director of the Clean Mining
Alliance.